Supply Skepticism Revisited

Blog post by Vicki Been, Ingrid Gould Ellen, Katherine O'Regan
November 13, 2023

Furman Center for Real Estate and Urban Policy   (New York)

Although “supply skeptics” claim that new housing supply does not slow growth in rents, we show that rigorous recent studies demonstrate that: 1) Increases in housing supply slow the growth in rents in the region; 2) In some circumstances, new construction also reduces rents or rent growth in the surrounding area; 3) The chains of moves sparked by new construction free up apartments that are then rented (or retained) by households across the income spectrum; 4) While new supply is associated with gentrification, it has not been shown to cause significant displacement of lower income households; and 5) Easing land use restrictions, at least on a broad scale and in ways that change binding constraints on development, generally leads to more new housing over time, but only a fraction of the
new capacity created because many other factors constrain the pace of new development.